Unfortunately for some shareholders, the AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ:APP) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 224% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, AppLovin may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 49.5x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Our free stock report includes 3 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in AppLovin. Read for free now.Recent times have been advantageous for AppLovin as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for AppLovin
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like AppLovin's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 364% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 4,653% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 36% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why AppLovin is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
AppLovin's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that AppLovin maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for AppLovin you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AppLovin, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.