The Greenyard NV (EBR:GREEN) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 39%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 36% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Belgium have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Greenyard as a stock to avoid entirely with its 43.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
We've discovered 3 warning signs about Greenyard. View them for free.While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Greenyard's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Greenyard
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Greenyard's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no earnings growth to show for over the last three years either. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has definitely eluded the company recently.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 69% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 14% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Greenyard's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The strong share price surge has got Greenyard's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Greenyard's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Greenyard is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.