JSW Steel Limited's (NSE:JSWSTEEL) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 73.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 25x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
We've discovered 3 warning signs about JSW Steel. View them for free.While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, JSW Steel's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for JSW Steel
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like JSW Steel's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 71%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 85% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 248% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 25% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why JSW Steel is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of JSW Steel's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with JSW Steel (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on JSW Steel, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.