The board of Deutsche Lufthansa AG (ETR:LHA) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.30 per share on the 9th of May. This makes the dividend yield 4.9%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Deutsche Lufthansa is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 33.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 19% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
See our latest analysis for Deutsche Lufthansa
Deutsche Lufthansa has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €0.50 in 2016 to the most recent total annual payment of €0.30. This works out to be a decline of approximately 5.5% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. Deutsche Lufthansa's earnings per share has shrunk at 15% a year over the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Deutsche Lufthansa's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While Deutsche Lufthansa is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Deutsche Lufthansa that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.